FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: result and our prediction
FC Dallas host San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (round 31) on Sunday 25 October 2026. FC Dallas are #480 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; San Jose Earthquakes are #789 and have drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 309 places - in FC Dallas's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FC Dallas the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and San Jose Earthquakes at 24%.
Rating: 1093
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: LWDWL
Rating: 1014
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: DLDDD
Who will win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
FC Dallas are #480 and San Jose Earthquakes #789 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Dallas (50%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-17 | San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-17 | San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-26 | FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes | 2-4 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #657 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 32 | 56 | #375 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 32 | 54 | #480 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 52 | #572 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 32 | 51 | #549 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 51 | #743 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 32 | 50 | #602 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 49 | #789 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 47 | #544 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 47 | #405 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 47 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | -42 | 22 |