FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction & odds
FC Lugano host Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Europa Conference League (round 3) on Thursday 05 November 2026. FC Lugano are #71 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Kauno Žalgiris are #726 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 655 places - in FC Lugano's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FC Lugano the favourites at 81%, with a draw at 13% and Kauno Žalgiris at 6%.
Rating: 1388
Chance to win: 81%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1024
Chance to win: 6%
Last 5: DLWLW
Who will win FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
FC Lugano are #71 and Kauno Žalgiris #726 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Lugano (81%). More from the Super League.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |