FC Porto vs Estoril prediction & odds
FC Porto host Estoril in the Primeira Liga (round 10) on Saturday 31 October 2026. FC Porto are #27 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Estoril are #420 and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 393 places - in FC Porto's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FC Porto the favourites at 84%, with a draw at 11% and Estoril at 5%.
Rating: 1538
Chance to win: 84%
Last 5: WWLLW
Rating: 1114
Chance to win: 5%
Last 5: LDLLL
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
FC Porto are #27 and Estoril #420 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Porto (84%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Estoril v FC Porto | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-30 | FC Porto v Estoril | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Estoril v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-03 | FC Porto v Estoril | 4-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Estoril v FC Porto | 1-0 |
FC Porto have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 7 | #370 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 2 | #420 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |