UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4

FC Porto vs Napoli prediction & odds

FC Porto host Napoli in the UEFA Champions League (round 4) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. FC Porto are #27 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Napoli are #31 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.

Our prediction

Our model makes FC Porto the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 23% and Napoli at 27%.

FC Porto 50% Draw 23%Napoli 27%
World rank: #27
Rating: 1538
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: WWLLW
World rank: #31
Rating: 1509
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WDWLL

Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto are #27 and Napoli #31 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Porto (50%). More from the Primeira Liga.

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.