Our model makes FC Porto the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 22% and PSV Eindhoven at 23%.
FC Porto are #22 and PSV Eindhoven #37 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Porto (55%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.