FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction & odds
FC Schalke 04 host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga (round 8) on Saturday 31 October 2026. FC Schalke 04 are #185 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; RB Leipzig are #35 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 150 places - in RB Leipzig's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes RB Leipzig the favourites at 58%, with a draw at 23% and FC Schalke 04 at 19%.
Rating: 1246
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: LDLLD
Rating: 1500
Chance to win: 58%
Last 5: WWLLW
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
FC Schalke 04 are #185 and RB Leipzig #35 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is RB Leipzig (58%). More from the Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-27 | RB Leipzig v FC Schalke 04 | 4-2 |
| 2023-01-24 | FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig | 1-6 |
| 2021-02-06 | FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-03 | RB Leipzig v FC Schalke 04 | 4-0 |
RB Leipzig have won the last 4 meetings.
Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 17 | #1 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 17 | #13 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 13 | #42 |
| 5 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 13 | #147 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 12 | #35 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 12 | #88 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 6 | #34 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 6 | #185 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 6 | #133 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |