FC Tokyo vs Kashima prediction & odds
FC Tokyo host Kashima in the J1 League (round 14) on Saturday 07 November 2026. FC Tokyo are #184 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Kashima are #159 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees FC Tokyo v Kashima as close to a coin flip: FC Tokyo 39%, a draw 29%, Kashima 32%.
Rating: 1246
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: WWDWL
Rating: 1267
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: WLDWW
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashima?
FC Tokyo are #184 and Kashima #159 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Tokyo (39%). More from the J1 League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Kashima v FC Tokyo | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Tokyo v Kashima | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | FC Tokyo v Kashima | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Kashima v FC Tokyo | 2-0 |
J1 League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 27 | #141 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27 | #184 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 26 | #178 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25 | #251 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 23 | #177 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 22 | #287 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21 | #325 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 20 | #159 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 18 | #296 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 16 | #494 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 30 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |