Fiorentina vs Atalanta: result and our prediction
Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Serie A (round 9) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Fiorentina are #103 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Atalanta are #53 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees Fiorentina v Atalanta as close to a coin flip: Fiorentina 32%, a draw 29%, Atalanta 39%.
Rating: 1339
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: DLLLD
Rating: 1431
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: DDLLW
Who will win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina are #103 and Atalanta #53 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atalanta (39%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Fiorentina v Atalanta | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fiorentina v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Atalanta v Fiorentina | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Fiorentina v Atalanta | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atalanta v Fiorentina | 3-2 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 13 | #138 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 11 | #55 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 11 | #53 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 10 | #110 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 9 | #170 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 8 | #121 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 7 | #168 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 5 | #135 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 5 | #103 |
| 19 | Parma | 9 | 5 | #192 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | #181 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |