Flamengo vs Atletico-MG: result and our prediction
Flamengo host Atletico-MG in the Serie A (round 32) on Monday 26 October 2026. Flamengo are #74 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Atletico-MG are #271 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 197 places - in Flamengo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Flamengo the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 22% and Atletico-MG at 17%.
Rating: 1385
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: WWDWD
Rating: 1187
Chance to win: 17%
Last 5: LLLWW
Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Flamengo are #74 and Atletico-MG #271 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Flamengo (60%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Flamengo v Atletico-MG | 3-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Atletico-MG v Flamengo | 0-4 |
| 2025-11-26 | Atletico-MG v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-06 | Atletico-MG v Flamengo | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Flamengo v Atletico-MG | 0-1 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #111 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #182 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #316 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #281 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 50 | #271 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 47 | #213 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 | #349 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |