Flamengo vs Gremio prediction & odds
Flamengo host Gremio in the Serie A (round 34) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. Flamengo are #74 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Gremio are #405 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 331 places - in Flamengo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Flamengo the favourites at 71%, with a draw at 18% and Gremio at 11%.
Rating: 1385
Chance to win: 71%
Last 5: WWDWD
Rating: 1120
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: WWLDD
Who will win Flamengo vs Gremio?
Flamengo are #74 and Gremio #405 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Flamengo (71%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Gremio v Flamengo | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Flamengo v Gremio | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Gremio v Flamengo | 0-2 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #112 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #180 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #520 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37 | #405 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37 | #373 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |