Our model makes Fluminense the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Santos at 29%.
Fluminense are #231 and Santos #254 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Fluminense (43%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Santos v Fluminense | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Santos v Fluminense | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Fluminense v Santos | 1-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 29 | 61 | #101 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 60 | #137 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 51 | #231 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 50 | #356 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 48 | #216 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 47 | #243 |
| 7 | Bahia | 29 | 46 | #305 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 42 | #254 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 39 | #412 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 29 | 38 | #704 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.