Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova prediction & odds
Fortaleza EC host Vila Nova in the Serie B (round 38) on Saturday 14 November 2026. Fortaleza EC are #665 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; Vila Nova are #1,013 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 348 places - in Fortaleza EC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Fortaleza EC the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 26% and Vila Nova at 23%.
Rating: 1043
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: DWDWD
Rating: 959
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: DLDWD
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Fortaleza EC are #665 and Vila Nova #1013 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Fortaleza EC (52%). More from the Serie B.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vila Nova v Fortaleza EC | 2-1 |
Serie B table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 36 | 65 | #722 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 35 | 64 | #588 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 63 | #1013 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 62 | #1113 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 61 | #665 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 55 | #1158 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 36 | 55 | #1058 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 64 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 63 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 61 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 55 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 48 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 47 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | -6 | 46 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | -57 | 15 |