Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin prediction & odds
Fortaleza FC host Independiente Medellin in the Primera A (Clausura - 18) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Fortaleza FC are #1,177 in our world ranking and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Independiente Medellin are #755 and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 422 places - in Independiente Medellin's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin as close to a coin flip: Fortaleza FC 32%, a draw 29%, Independiente Medellin 39%.
Rating: 927
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: LDLDD
Rating: 1019
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: LLLLW
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin?
Fortaleza FC are #1177 and Independiente Medellin #755 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Independiente Medellin (39%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-04 | Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin | 0-0 |
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 28 | #974 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 16 | 26 | #518 |
| 12 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26 | #755 |
| 13 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 26 | #840 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 22 | #1272 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22 | #1177 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 21 | #1371 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 18 | #1146 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 |  Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |  Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 |  Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 |  Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Second half of the season.