Fountain Gate vs Simba: result and our prediction
Fountain Gate host Simba in the Ligi kuu Bara (round 10) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Fountain Gate are #2,035 in our world ranking and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Simba are #208 and have won all of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,827 places - in Simba's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Simba the favourites at 74%, with a draw at 17% and Fountain Gate at 10%.
Rating: 814
Chance to win: 10%
Last 5: LDDLD
Rating: 1227
Chance to win: 74%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Simba?
Fountain Gate are #2035 and Simba #208 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Simba (74%). More from the Ligi kuu Bara.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Fountain Gate v Simba | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fountain Gate v Simba | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Simba v Fountain Gate | 3-0 |
Simba have won the last 3 meetings.
Ligi kuu Bara table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 9 | 27 | #208 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 9 | 22 | #243 |
| 3 | Azam | 9 | 20 | #383 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 10 | 6 | #2204 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 10 | 6 | #2035 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Azam | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Namungo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Coastal Union | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Polisi Tanzania | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Mashujaa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Geita Gold | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 |  Tabora United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kagera Sugar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 |  Fountain Gate | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |