FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction & odds
FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Bundesliga (round 9) on Saturday 07 November 2026. FSV Mainz 05 are #100 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Bayern München are #1 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Bayern München the favourites at 80%, with a draw at 13% and FSV Mainz 05 at 7%.
Rating: 1345
Chance to win: 7%
Last 5: LLLWL
Rating: 1830
Chance to win: 80%
Last 5: WWDWD
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
FSV Mainz 05 are #100 and Bayern München #1 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bayern München (80%). More from the Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München | 3-4 |
| 2025-12-14 | Bayern München v FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Bayern München v FSV Mainz 05 | 3-0 |
| 2024-12-14 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München | 0-4 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 17 | #1 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 17 | #13 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 13 | #42 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 13 | #21 |
| 5 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 13 | #147 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 12 | #35 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 12 | #88 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 10 | #100 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 9 | #69 |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 9 | #58 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |