Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe: result and our prediction
Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig (round 9) on Monday 26 October 2026. Galatasaray are #51 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Fenerbahçe are #54 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe as close to a coin flip: Galatasaray 40%, a draw 29%, Fenerbahçe 31%.
Rating: 1438
Chance to win: 40%
Last 5: WWWLW
Rating: 1428
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: LDWLW
Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
Galatasaray are #51 and Fenerbahçe #54 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Galatasaray (40%). More from the Süper Lig.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-01 | Fenerbahçe v Galatasaray | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-02 | Fenerbahçe v Galatasaray | 1-2 |
Süper Lig table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 22 | #51 |
| 2 | Amed | 9 | 20 | #361 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 19 | #96 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 9 | 18 | #84 |
| 5 | Fenerbahçe | 9 | 16 | #54 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | 16 | #368 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 15 | #482 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Amed | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Fenerbahçe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurumspor FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Başakşehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -21 | 3 |