Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United: result and our prediction
Gamba Osaka host Buriram United in the AFC Champions League Elite (round 3) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Gamba Osaka are #382 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; Buriram United are #555 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 173 places - in Gamba Osaka's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Gamba Osaka the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 22% and Buriram United at 23%.
Rating: 1129
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: DDWDW
Rating: 1075
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: DLWWL
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Gamba Osaka are #382 and Buriram United #555 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Gamba Osaka (55%). More from the J1 League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Gamba Osaka v Buriram United | 1-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Vissel Kobe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Gamba Osaka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Daejeon Citizen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Buriram United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 0 |