Genoa vs AC Milan prediction & odds
Genoa host AC Milan in the Serie A (round 11) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Genoa are #111 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; AC Milan are #41 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes AC Milan the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Genoa at 27%.
Rating: 1333
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WWLWL
Rating: 1479
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: LWLWW
Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
Genoa are #111 and AC Milan #41 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is AC Milan (45%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Genoa v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-08 | AC Milan v Genoa | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-05 | Genoa v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-15 | AC Milan v Genoa | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-05 | AC Milan v Genoa | 3-3 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25 | #10 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 25 | #36 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 21 | #19 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 20 | #18 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18 | #41 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 17 | #68 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 11 | #53 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 10 | #111 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 9 | #171 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |