Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction & odds
Gimnasia M. host Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Gimnasia M. are #680 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Independ. Rivadavia are #266 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 414 places - in Independ. Rivadavia's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Gimnasia M. at 27%.
Rating: 1037
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: LLWLD
Rating: 1188
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: LDLDW
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Gimnasia M. are #680 and Independ. Rivadavia #266 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Independ. Rivadavia (46%). More from the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Independ. Rivadavia v Gimnasia M. | 5-1 |
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 34 | #266 |
| 2 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 32 | #270 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 31 | #381 |
| 22 | Tigre | 16 | 20 | #508 |
| 23 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 20 | #680 |
| 24 | Banfield | 16 | 18 | #668 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 |  Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 |  Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 |  San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9 | 9 |
Second half of the season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
First half of the season.