Gremio vs Atletico-MG prediction & odds
Gremio host Atletico-MG in the Copa Do Brasil (Semi-finals) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Gremio are #405 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Atletico-MG are #271 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 134 places - in Atletico-MG's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Gremio v Atletico-MG as close to a coin flip: Gremio 34%, a draw 30%, Atletico-MG 36%.
Rating: 1120
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: WWLDD
Rating: 1187
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: LLLWW
Who will win Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Gremio are #405 and Atletico-MG #271 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico-MG (36%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Atletico-MG v Gremio | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gremio v Atletico-MG | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Atletico-MG v Gremio | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Gremio v Atletico-MG | 2-1 |
Gremio have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.