Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: result and our prediction
Gremio host Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A (round 33) on Friday 30 October 2026. Gremio are #459 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Atletico Paranaense are #316 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 143 places - in Atletico Paranaense's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Gremio v Atletico Paranaense as close to a coin flip: Gremio 35%, a draw 30%, Atletico Paranaense 35%.
Rating: 1101
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: WWLDD
Rating: 1156
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: LDLWD
Who will win Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio are #459 and Atletico Paranaense #316 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Gremio (35%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Gremio v Atletico Paranaense | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Atletico Paranaense v Gremio | 0-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #111 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #182 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #316 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #281 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #518 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37 | #459 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 32 | 37 | #323 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |