Our model makes Cruzeiro the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Gremio at 29%.
Gremio are #494 and Cruzeiro #216 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Cruzeiro (43%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Cruzeiro v Gremio | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Gremio v Cruzeiro | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Cruzeiro v Gremio | 4-1 |
Cruzeiro have won the last 3 meetings.
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 29 | 61 | #101 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 60 | #137 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 51 | #231 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 50 | #356 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 48 | #216 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 47 | #243 |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 31 | #510 |
| 18 | Gremio | 29 | 30 | #494 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 25 | #885 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.