Our model makes Riga the favourites at 82%, with a draw at 12% and Grobiņa at 6%.
Grobiņa are #3067 and Riga #274 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Riga (82%). More from the Virsliga.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Riga v Grobiņa | 4-0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Riga v Grobiņa | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Grobiņa v Riga | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Grobiņa v Riga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Riga v Grobiņa | 2-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 32 | 80 | #464 |
| 2 | Riga | 33 | 79 | #274 |
| 3 | Auda | 32 | 64 | #1013 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 33 | 46 | #1762 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 42 | #1844 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 33 | 38 | #2667 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 33 | 32 | #2808 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 33 | 29 | #3067 |
| 9 | Tukums | 32 | 24 | #3189 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 33 | 18 | #3199 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.