Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & odds
Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie (round 11) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Groningen are #241 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Sparta Rotterdam are #372 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 131 places - in Groningen's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Groningen the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Sparta Rotterdam at 24%.
Rating: 1204
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: LDLWW
Rating: 1133
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: DLWDL
Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Groningen are #241 and Sparta Rotterdam #372 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Groningen (50%). More from the Eredivisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen | 5-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam | 1-0 |
Sparta Rotterdam have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Eredivisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 18 | #291 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 15 | #170 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 15 | #241 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 14 | #273 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 12 | #430 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 12 | #165 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 11 | #158 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 11 | #342 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 9 | #372 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 8 | #479 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 6 | #440 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |