Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction & odds
Guayaquil City FC host Libertad in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 5) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Guayaquil City FC are #701 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Libertad are #487 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 214 places - in Libertad's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Guayaquil City FC v Libertad as close to a coin flip: Guayaquil City FC 35%, a draw 30%, Libertad 35%.
Rating: 1031
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: WLWDW
Rating: 1092
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: LWWWL
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC are #701 and Libertad #487 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Libertad (35%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Libertad v Guayaquil City FC | 4-0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Guayaquil City FC v Libertad | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Libertad v Guayaquil City FC | 0-1 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 53 | #290 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 51 | #606 |
| 6 | Libertad | 34 | 50 | #487 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 48 | #438 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 46 | #701 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 44 | #814 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 43 | #770 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |