Our model makes Heerenveen the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Excelsior at 24%.
Heerenveen are #192 and Excelsior #291 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Heerenveen (50%). More from the Eredivisie.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Excelsior v Heerenveen | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Heerenveen v Excelsior | 2-1 |
| 2024-01-19 | Excelsior v Heerenveen | 3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Heerenveen v Excelsior | 0-3 |
| 2023-05-13 | Heerenveen v Excelsior | 0-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 15 | #80 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 14 | #304 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 11 | #291 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 11 | #176 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 11 | #235 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 9 | #192 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 9 | #178 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 8 | #609 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.