Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction & odds
Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (round 11) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Heerenveen are #170 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; NEC Nijmegen are #158 and have won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen as close to a coin flip: Heerenveen 41%, a draw 29%, NEC Nijmegen 31%.
Rating: 1259
Chance to win: 41%
Last 5: WWWLW
Rating: 1270
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: DWDDD
Who will win Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen are #170 and NEC Nijmegen #158 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Heerenveen (41%). More from the Eredivisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-10 | NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen | 2-0 |
Eredivisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 20 | #78 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 18 | #291 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 15 | #170 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 15 | #241 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 14 | #273 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 12 | #430 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 12 | #165 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 11 | #158 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 11 | #342 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 9 | #372 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |