Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan: result and our prediction
Henan Jianye host Beijing Guoan in the Super League (round 29) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Henan Jianye are #2,088 in our world ranking and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Beijing Guoan are #745 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,343 places - in Beijing Guoan's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Beijing Guoan the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 26% and Henan Jianye at 23%.
Rating: 809
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: LLDDD
Rating: 1022
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: DWWWW
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?
Henan Jianye are #2088 and Beijing Guoan #745 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Beijing Guoan (52%). More from the Super League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan | 3-4 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye | 1-0 |
Super League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 29 | 52 | #1304 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 49 | #1421 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 47 | #745 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 29 | 44 | #1356 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 29 | 29 | #2678 |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 29 | 28 | #2088 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 22 | #2714 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 |  Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 49 |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 40 |
| 7 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | -6 | 39 |
| 8 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 37 |
| 9 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Tianjin Teda | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 31 |
| 13 |  Shenyang Urban | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 |  Henan Jianye | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -28 | 14 |