Heracles vs Roda prediction & odds
Heracles host Roda in the Eerste Divisie (round 14) on Friday 06 November 2026. Heracles are #635 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Roda are #917 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 282 places - in Heracles's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Heracles the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Roda at 24%.
Rating: 1052
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: LDWWD
Rating: 983
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WWWWD
Who will win Heracles vs Roda?
Heracles are #635 and Roda #917 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Heracles (50%). More from the Eerste Divisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-14 | Heracles v Roda | 1-0 |
| 2022-12-11 | Roda v Heracles | 1-3 |
| 2022-10-18 | Roda v Heracles | 2-2 |
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 12 | 29 | #635 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 12 | 25 | #1109 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 13 | 25 | #623 |
| 4 | Emmen | 12 | 25 | #927 |
| 5 | Roda | 13 | 25 | #917 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 12 | 21 | #745 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 19 | #898 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 29 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Emmen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Almere City FC | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 |  NAC Breda | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 |  MVV | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Jong PSV U21 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 |  Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Den Bosch | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 |  De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  FC OSS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 |  Jong Ajax | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 19 |  FC Eindhoven | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |