Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction & odds
Holstein Kiel host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga (round 11) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Holstein Kiel are #305 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5; Arminia Bielefeld are #312 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Holstein Kiel the favourites at 42%, with a draw at 28% and Arminia Bielefeld at 29%.
Rating: 1164
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: DWDLD
Rating: 1159
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: WLWWD
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel are #305 and Arminia Bielefeld #312 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Holstein Kiel (42%). More from the 2. Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Arminia Bielefeld v Holstein Kiel | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-02 | Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld | 2-3 |
| 2022-09-17 | Arminia Bielefeld v Holstein Kiel | 4-2 |
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 16 | #244 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 15 | #222 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 14 | #312 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 12 | #236 |
| 9 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 11 | #365 |
| 10 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 11 | #253 |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 10 | #464 |
| 12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 10 | #548 |
| 13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 9 | #529 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 8 | #305 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 8 | #341 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | 8 | #308 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 |  VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |