Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC: result and our prediction
Houston Dynamo host Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer (round 31) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Houston Dynamo are #743 in our world ranking and have won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 5; Minnesota United FC are #899 and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 156 places - in Houston Dynamo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Houston Dynamo the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Minnesota United FC at 27%.
Rating: 1022
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: WDDDD
Rating: 989
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WDWDD
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
Houston Dynamo are #743 and Minnesota United FC #899 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Houston Dynamo (46%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC | 0-0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-26 | Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-15 | Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC | 2-0 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #264 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #501 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #657 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 32 | 51 | #549 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 51 | #743 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 32 | 50 | #602 |
| 23 | New York City FC | 32 | 38 | #798 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 | #899 |
| 25 | San Diego | 32 | 35 | #941 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 47 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | -42 | 22 |