Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction & odds
Independiente del Valle host LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro (Championship Group - 5) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Independiente del Valle are #131 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; LDU de Quito are #290 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 159 places - in Independiente del Valle's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Independiente del Valle the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 24% and LDU de Quito at 19%.
Rating: 1306
Chance to win: 57%
Last 5: WDLWW
Rating: 1175
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: DLDWW
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
Independiente del Valle are #131 and LDU de Quito #290 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Independiente del Valle (57%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | LDU de Quito v Independiente del Valle | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Independiente del Valle v LDU de Quito | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-10 | Independiente del Valle v LDU de Quito | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | LDU de Quito v Independiente del Valle | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | LDU de Quito v Independiente del Valle | 1-1 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 78 | #131 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 63 | #224 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53 | #332 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 53 | #290 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 51 | #606 |
| 6 | Libertad | 34 | 50 | #487 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |