Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica: result and our prediction
Independiente del Valle host Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro (Championship Group - 4) on Friday 23 October 2026. Independiente del Valle are #132 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Universidad Catolica are #329 and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 197 places - in Independiente del Valle's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Independiente del Valle the favourites at 61%, with a draw at 22% and Universidad Catolica at 17%.
Rating: 1306
Chance to win: 61%
Last 5: WDLWW
Rating: 1150
Chance to win: 17%
Last 5: DDDLL
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
Independiente del Valle are #132 and Universidad Catolica #329 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Independiente del Valle (61%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica | 0-0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle | 0-3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle | 2-3 |
| 2025-12-14 | Universidad Catolica v Independiente del Valle | 0-1 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 78 | #132 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 63 | #224 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53 | #329 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 53 | #292 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 51 | #611 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |