Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & odds
Independiente Medellin host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A (Clausura - 17) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Independiente Medellin are #755 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Alianza Valledupar are #1,146 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 391 places - in Independiente Medellin's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Independiente Medellin the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 25% and Alianza Valledupar at 22%.
Rating: 1019
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: LLLLW
Rating: 932
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: LWWDL
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Medellin are #755 and Alianza Valledupar #1146 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Independiente Medellin (52%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-27 | Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin | 1-1 |
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 28 | #974 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 16 | 26 | #518 |
| 12 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26 | #755 |
| 13 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 26 | #840 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 22 | #1272 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22 | #1177 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 21 | #1371 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 18 | #1146 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 19 | 18 | #1744 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 17 | #1393 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 |  Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |  Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 |  Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 |  Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Second half of the season.