Our model makes Boca Juniors the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and Independiente at 28%.
Independiente are #442 and Boca Juniors #188 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Boca Juniors (44%). More from the Liga Profesional Argentina.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Boca Juniors v Independiente | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-20 | Boca Juniors v Independiente | 0-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 34 | #263 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 31 | #383 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 30 | #188 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 29 | #250 |
| 12 | Defensa Y Justicia | 13 | 24 | #466 |
| 13 | Independiente | 16 | 24 | #442 |
| 14 | Lanus | 16 | 24 | #337 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.