Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split: result and our prediction

Istra 1961 host HNK Hajduk Split in the HNL (round 11) on Monday 26 October 2026. Istra 1961 are #522 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; HNK Hajduk Split are #152 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 370 places - in HNK Hajduk Split's favour.

Our prediction

Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourites at 53%, with a draw at 25% and Istra 1961 at 22%.

Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Istra 1961 are #522 and HNK Hajduk Split #152 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is HNK Hajduk Split (53%). More from the HNL.

Head to head

HNL table

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.