Our model makes Penarol the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Juventud at 27%.
Juventud are #937 and Penarol #393 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Penarol (46%). More from the Primera División.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Penarol v Juventud | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Penarol v Juventud | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Juventud v Penarol | 0-2 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 142 | #393 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 69 | 134 | #512 |
| 3 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 115 | #715 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 70 | 109 | #1010 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 106 | #578 |
| 6 | Juventud | 70 | 101 | #937 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 70 | 96 | #1629 |
| 8 | Boston River | 70 | 92 | #1107 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.