Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & odds
Kashima host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League (round 13) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Kashima are #159 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Cerezo Osaka are #348 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 189 places - in Kashima's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Kashima the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and Cerezo Osaka at 20%.
Rating: 1267
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: WLDWW
Rating: 1143
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: WDDLW
Who will win Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Kashima are #159 and Cerezo Osaka #348 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Kashima (56%). More from the J1 League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Kashima v Cerezo Osaka | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Cerezo Osaka v Kashima | 1-0 |
J1 League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 22 | #287 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21 | #325 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 20 | #159 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 18 | #296 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 16 | #494 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14 | #527 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 14 | #348 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 14 | #766 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 12 | #810 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 26 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |