Our model makes Kashima the favourites at 75%, with a draw at 16% and V-varen Nagasaki at 9%.
Kashima are #169 and V-varen Nagasaki #1066 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Kashima (75%). More from the J1 League.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-16 | Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki | 2-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 21 | #265 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 20 | #175 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 20 | #186 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 19 | #213 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 16 | #169 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 15 | #351 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 9 | #1269 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 9 | #1066 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 9 | #648 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.