Our model makes Kashima the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Kyoto Sanga at 21%.
Kyoto Sanga are #660 and Kashima #160 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Kashima (55%). More from the J1 League.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Kyoto Sanga v Kashima | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Kashima v Kyoto Sanga | 3-4 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 21 | #243 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 20 | #171 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 20 | #187 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 19 | #203 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 16 | #160 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 15 | #326 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 9 | #632 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 8 | #660 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 7 | #921 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.