Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: result and our prediction
Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (round 9) on Friday 30 October 2026. Le Havre are #228 in our world ranking and have lost all of their last 5; Paris Saint Germain are #5 and have won all of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 223 places - in Paris Saint Germain's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourites at 83%, with a draw at 12% and Le Havre at 5%.
Rating: 1210
Chance to win: 5%
Last 5: LLLLL
Rating: 1746
Chance to win: 83%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Le Havre are #228 and Paris Saint Germain #5 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paris Saint Germain (83%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain | 1-5 |
| 2026-02-28 | Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Havre | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Havre | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain | 1-4 |
Paris Saint Germain have won the last 5 meetings.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 20 | #5 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 18 | #52 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 16 | #51 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 5 | #264 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | #228 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |