Le Mans vs Monaco prediction & odds
Le Mans host Monaco in the Ligue 1 (round 10) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Le Mans are #260 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Monaco are #38 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 222 places - in Monaco's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Monaco the favourites at 64%, with a draw at 21% and Le Mans at 15%.
Rating: 1190
Chance to win: 15%
Last 5: DLLWD
Rating: 1499
Chance to win: 64%
Last 5: DWLWD
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
Le Mans are #260 and Monaco #38 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Monaco (64%). More from the Ligue 1.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 20 | #5 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 18 | #52 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 16 | #51 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 15 | #38 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 14 | #47 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 8 | #206 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 7 | #260 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 7 | #82 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |