Leça vs Varzim prediction & odds
Leça host Varzim in the Liga 3 (round 8) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Leça are #1,583 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Varzim are #1,665 and have lost all of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Leça the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Varzim at 21%.
Rating: 868
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 858
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: LLLLL
Who will win Leça vs Varzim?
Leça are #1583 and Varzim #1665 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Leça (55%). More from the Liga 3.
Liga 3 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 11 | #1700 |
| 6 | Oliveirense | 7 | 10 | #1336 |
| 7 | Leça | 7 | 10 | #1583 |
| 8 | União Santarém | 7 | 10 | #1628 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 7 | 9 | #1563 |
| 10 | Mafra | 7 | 9 | #1137 |
| 11 | Vianense | 7 | 9 | #1606 |
| 12 | Louletano | 7 | 8 | #1872 |
| 13 | Varzim | 7 | 9 | #1665 |
| 14 | Caldas | 7 | 8 | #2239 |
| 15 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 8 | #1418 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |