Leganes vs Burgos prediction & odds
Leganes host Burgos in the Segunda División (round 14) on Friday 13 November 2026. Leganes are #477 in our world ranking and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Burgos are #160 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 317 places - in Burgos's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Burgos the favourites at 48%, with a draw at 27% and Leganes at 25%.
Rating: 1095
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: DLLLL
Rating: 1266
Chance to win: 48%
Last 5: WWWLL
Who will win Leganes vs Burgos?
Leganes are #477 and Burgos #160 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Burgos (48%). More from the Segunda División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Burgos v Leganes | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Leganes v Burgos | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-22 | Leganes v Burgos | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-04 | Burgos v Leganes | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-12 | Burgos v Leganes | 0-3 |
Segunda División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 11 | 26 | #114 |
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 25 | #135 |
| 3 | Eibar | 11 | 22 | #163 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | 20 | #258 |
| 6 | Burgos | 11 | 20 | #160 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 11 | 19 | #113 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | 12 | #485 |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 12 | #477 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 11 | 10 | #571 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 |  Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Girona | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Burgos | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 |  Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -14 | 4 |