Lens vs Marseille prediction & odds
Lens host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (round 10) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Lens are #40 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Marseille are #76 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Lens the favourites at 54%, with a draw at 25% and Marseille at 21%.
Rating: 1484
Chance to win: 54%
Last 5: LWLWL
Rating: 1382
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: WLWLW
Who will win Lens vs Marseille?
Lens are #40 and Marseille #76 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lens (54%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Marseille v Lens | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Lens v Marseille | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Marseille v Lens | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Lens v Marseille | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-28 | Marseille v Lens | 2-1 |
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 14 | #67 |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 14 | #103 |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 13 | #40 |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 12 | #76 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 12 | #87 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 10 | #89 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |