Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction & odds
Leon host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Monday 09 November 2026. Leon are #579 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Guadalajara Chivas are #324 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 255 places - in Guadalajara Chivas's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Leon v Guadalajara Chivas as close to a coin flip: Leon 33%, a draw 29%, Guadalajara Chivas 38%.
Rating: 1067
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: DWLDW
Rating: 1151
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: WWDDL
Who will win Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Leon are #579 and Guadalajara Chivas #324 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Guadalajara Chivas (38%). More from the Liga MX.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Guadalajara Chivas v Leon | 5-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Leon v Guadalajara Chivas | 1-0 |
Liga MX table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 15 | 27 | #688 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 26 | #282 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 26 | #324 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 23 | #300 |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | 22 | #579 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 21 | #605 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 13 | 20 | #661 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 |  Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 8 |
First half of the season.