Libertad vs Emelec prediction & odds
Libertad host Emelec in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 6) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Libertad are #487 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Emelec are #769 and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 282 places - in Libertad's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Libertad the favourites at 51%, with a draw at 26% and Emelec at 23%.
Rating: 1092
Chance to win: 51%
Last 5: LWWWL
Rating: 1017
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: LWLLL
Who will win Libertad vs Emelec?
Libertad are #487 and Emelec #769 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Libertad (51%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Emelec v Libertad | 1-2 |
| 2026-09-04 | Libertad v Emelec | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Emelec v Libertad | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Libertad v Emelec | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Emelec v Libertad | 1-1 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 53 | #290 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 51 | #606 |
| 6 | Libertad | 34 | 50 | #487 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 48 | #438 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 46 | #701 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 44 | #814 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 43 | #770 |
| 11 | Emelec | 34 | 42 | #769 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 40 | #926 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 38 | #839 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |