Our model makes Libertad the favourites at 51%, with a draw at 26% and Guayaquil City FC at 24%.
Libertad are #394 and Guayaquil City FC #658 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Libertad (51%). More from the Liga Pro.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Guayaquil City FC v Libertad | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Libertad v Guayaquil City FC | 0-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 50 | #444 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | 49 | #234 |
| 6 | Libertad | 32 | 47 | #394 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 44 | #483 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 32 | 43 | #658 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 32 | 40 | #739 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa SC | 32 | 39 | #753 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.