Lille vs Lens: result and our prediction
Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1 (round 9) on Friday 30 October 2026. Lille are #52 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Lens are #40 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Lille v Lens as close to a coin flip: Lille 34%, a draw 30%, Lens 37%.
Rating: 1436
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: WDLDL
Rating: 1484
Chance to win: 37%
Last 5: LWLWL
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
Lille are #52 and Lens #40 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lens (37%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Lille v Lens | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Lille v Lens | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Lens v Lille | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Lille v Lens | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Lens v Lille | 0-2 |
Lille have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 20 | #5 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 18 | #52 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 16 | #51 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 15 | #38 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 14 | #47 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 14 | #67 |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 14 | #103 |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 13 | #40 |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 12 | #76 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 12 | #87 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |