Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction & odds
Lillestrom host Aalesund in the Eliteserien (round 26) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Lillestrom are #259 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Aalesund are #526 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 267 places - in Lillestrom's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Lillestrom the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Aalesund at 21%.
Rating: 1192
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: WWLWD
Rating: 1082
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: WLWLW
Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?
Lillestrom are #259 and Aalesund #526 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lillestrom (55%). More from the Eliteserien.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Aalesund v Lillestrom | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-10 | Lillestrom v Aalesund | 5-1 |
| 2025-03-31 | Aalesund v Lillestrom | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-03 | Aalesund v Lillestrom | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-19 | Lillestrom v Aalesund | 5-1 |
Eliteserien table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 59 | #54 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 59 | #29 |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 43 | #195 |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 40 | #232 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 39 | #259 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 31 | #363 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 24 | 24 | #583 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 24 | #526 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 20 | #876 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 |  KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |  Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 |  Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -28 | 19 |